By Derek du Preez, Computerworld UK | Aug 21, 2012
Gartner's latest Hype Cycle, which assesses more than 1,900 technologies' maturity in the market, has branded cloud computing as being on the path to disillusionment.
Released annually, the analyst group's Hype Cycle aims to provide industry watchers and players with a clear assessment on how technology is being used, but also what to expect from upcoming technology trends.
The report reads: "Cloud computing is still a visible and hyped term, but, at this point, it has clearly passed the Peak of Inflated Expectations [a point on the curve]. There are signs of fatigue and signs of disillusionment (e.g. highly visible failures)."
Computerworld UK spoke to Hung LeHong, research VP at Gartner, who said that cloud is not seeing the uptake that the industry expected.
"I think cloud computing is moving slower than what everyone thought it would. Everybody has been talking about cloud for so long, but it's not moving very quickly along the curve and is heading towards disillusionment," he said.
Gartner's report also identified a number of 'tipping point' technologies this year, which are considered to be on the verge of maturing, but are not quite yet delivering the benefits to enterprises and consumers.
HTML5, machine-to-machine and in-memory databases are amongst the technologies on the list, but LeHong identifies payments and big data as the two that are particularly interesting.
"We put quite a big focus on payments first of all, which includes Near Field Communications (NFC) technology. These are just coming off the peak of the Hype Curve," said LeHong.
NFC allows consumers to pay for goods by tapping their cards on payment terminals in store, but there has been difficulty in establishing widespread adoption due to the differing interests of so many stakeholders.
""This is one of the tipping point technologies that I would pay close attention to - it has the potential to impact customers quite broadly. There is a lot of noise about it at the moment, but it is heading towards a period of disillusionment," he said.